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BEARISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 26 Oct. as Analysis on AUD/SGD, Target: 0.9998, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #Volatility #Bearish #Rsi #Channel #AUD/SGD #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 0.98234 0.99983 - 1.0329

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/SGD is moving in a downtrend channel pattern dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator. The China monetary policy and the AUD trade balance give also some support to the bearish bias. The resistance line of the channel at 1.0329.

Daily Vi…
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4 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 2 Nov.

The oil bullish retracement can have a -1.2% on the estimation of the pair (using the cycle) but the parity can be a very pshicological level.... so maybe it is less than -1.2%.

Durden avatar
Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime.
The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair AUD/SGD can have a +0.3% at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bullish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair AUD/SGD  pattern  can have a  + 0.8  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 24 Nov.

The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish    forecast. The pair  AUD/SGD can have a -0.001 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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BEARISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 26 Oct. as Analysis on CAD/HKD, Target: 5.7707, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #CAD #HKD #CAD/HKD #Bearish #Channel #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 5.60686 - 5.77070 6.02908

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

CAD/HKD is moving in a downtrend channel dynamics. The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator. Hidden W scale analysis suggest 5.60686 as support zone and 6.02908 as resistance zone.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates that CAD/HKD is in a bear…
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3 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a slightly bearish regime.
The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast. The pair CAD/HKD can have a -0.8% at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  bearish regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  CAD/HKD  pattern  can have a - 1.2  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

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Durden 24 Nov.

The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bearish    forecast. The pair CAD/HKD can have a -0.008 % at the Asian session opening. Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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Downtrend Channel for the AUD/CAD

Durden Posted 26 Oct. as Analysis on AUD/CAD, Target: 0.9233, Date: 1st of December, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #CAD #AUD/CAD #Bearish #Rsi #Channel #Hidden Markov Processes

Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM


Key price levels : 0.91802 - 0.92329 - 0.95800 - 0.97293

Weekly Charts pattern : Bearish triangle , rectangle trendless W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/CAD is moving in a slightly downtrend dynamics in a bearish channel delimited by the resistance at 0.97293 and the support zone at 0.91802. The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the volume dynamics and the negative Hidden Markov indicator.

Daily Vision

Th…
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3 Comments
Durden avatar
Durden 3 Nov.

Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a bullish regime.
The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly buy market side forecast.                     
The pair AUD/CAD can have a +0.2% at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 12 Nov.

HMM analysis in chart H4 shows a  slightly  regime. The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a slightly selling market side forecast. The pair  AUD/CAD  pattern  can have a 0.8  %  as forecast  at the Asian session opening.

Durden avatar
Durden 24 Nov.

The chart analysis integrated with the RSI and the volatility studies are coherent with a  slightly bullish forecast. The pair AUD/CAD can have a 0.1 % at the Asian session opening.
Hidden Markov model analysis in chart H4 shows a  trendless regime.

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BULLISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on GBP/AUD, Target: 2.2490, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #GBP #GBP/AUD #Bullish #Rsi #Channel #Hidden Markov Processes

INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 2.08714 - 2.14008 - 2.24901 - 2.25988 - 2.2892

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The GBP/AUD pair is moving in a bullish dynamics with a resistance zone at 2.08714. The chart analysis indicates a slightly bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is relatively adeguate with a slightly bullish tendency.
…
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3 Comments
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  stai in ufficio con Andrea ?

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Durden 2 Oct.

The GBP/AUD  is in a bearish regime. The AUD positive bias can be improved  by the Oil retracement. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.2 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.3% of the GBP pair again the AUD  counterpart.
GBP  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime.

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BULLISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/NZD, Target: 1.8793, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #NZD #Rsi #Channel #EUR/NZD #Hidden Markov Processes
[url=https://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/technical_analysis/?action=blog&nickname=Durden&post_id=64741#article][/url]
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS : 1.6595 - 1.74193 - 1.7986 - 1.8793 - 1.9498

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance and support lines, W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics with a resistance line at 1.9498 . The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and it can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. Standard Dev is in agreement with a slightly bullish tendency.

Daily V…
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3 Comments
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis. 

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Oct.

The EUR/NZD  is in a slightly bearish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.02 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a  bearish regime. Also Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.8% of the EUR pair again the NZD counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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BULLISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 30 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/NOK, Target: 9.6320, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #EUR #NOK #Bearish #Rsi #EUR/NOK #Channel #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

Key price levels : 9.1683 - 9.6320 - 9.8028 - 9.9086

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

The pair is moving in a bullish channel dynamics. The chart analysis indicates the bullish dynamics and can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis and the RSI momentum indicator. The level price at 9.1683 as a support can bring to the bearish regime.

Daily Vision

The D1 scale indicates th…
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3 Comments
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foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  EUR recovery ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Oct.

The EUR/NOK  is in a slightly bearish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.1 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.1% of the EUR pair again the NOK counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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TRENDLESS REGIME

Durden Posted 25 Sep. as Analysis on EUR/AUD, Target: 1.5900, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #EUR #Volatility #Bullish #EUR/AUD #Channel #Trendless #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM

KEY PRICE LEVELS: 1.5280 - 1.58997 - 1.6186 - 1.66093

Weekly CHART PATTERN : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

EUR/AUD is moving in bullish with a possible steady dynamics. The chart analysis is slightly bullish but the Hidden Markov Models Analysis seems to support the bullish analysis. The RSI momentum indicator and the chart analysis with a Volume and Standard Deviation analysis seems to facilitate a slightly bullish dynamics . The China e…
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3 Comments
foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  EUR potrebbe andare bullish ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Oct.

The EUR/AUD  is in a bearish regime. The EUR positive bias can be improved  by the PPI release. The hidden state target is evaluated at +0.1 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bearish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.7% of the EUR pair again the AUD counterpart.
EUR  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime ( German Production ) .

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BEARISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 24 Sep. as Analysis on CHF/JPY, Target: 120.893, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #JPY #CHF #Volatility #Bearish #CHF/JPY #Channel #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
INDICATORS: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM KEY PRICE LEVELS : 114.084 - 119.892 - 120.893 - 134.289

Weekly CHART PATTERNS : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly VISION

The pair is moving in bearish dynamics. The chart analysis and the Hidden Markov Models Analysis integrated with the RSI momentum indicator support the bearish tendency. The resistance zone is indicated at 134.2892 and the support zone is at 114.084.

Daily VISION
The D1 scale indicates that the patttern is in channel with a…
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foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  anche se la trendless potrebbe valutarsi ; )

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Oct.

The CHF/JPY  is in a slightly bearish regime. The JPY positive bias can be improved. The hidden state target is evaluated at -0.8 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the -0.1% of the CHF pair again the JPY counterpart.
JPY  Fundamental suggest the sell side regime 

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AUSSIE BEARISH CHANNEL

Durden Posted 22 Sep. as Analysis on AUD/USD, Target: 0.6697, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #USD #Volatility #AUD/USD #Aussie #Bearish #Rsi #Channel #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 0.6286 - 0.6697 - 0.6888 - 0.76108 - 0.80831 - 0.86807

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

Aussie is moving in a downtrend dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator and the Standard Deviation analysis. Also the China monetary policy about interest rate, quantitative easing and RRR can agevolate the support of the bearish.…
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foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 1 Oct.

Great analysis.  CRUDE OIL retracement ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Oct.

The AUSSIE  is in a slightly bullish regime. The USD positive bias can be improved  by the NFP release . The hidden state target is evaluated at -0.7 % at US closing market.

Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The Aussie shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the +0.2% of the AUD pair again the USD counterpart.
AUS  Fundamental support the bullish side regime ( Oil and China economy retracement  )

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Bearish Channel

Durden Posted 21 Sep. as Analysis on AUD/SGD, Target: 1.0003, Date: 2nd of November, 12:00 GMT  in #Technical analysis #AUD #Volatility #Bearish #Rsi #Channel #AUD/SGD #Volume #Hidden Markov Processes
Indicators: RSI, Volatility, Volume, HMM
Key price levels : 0.98677 - 1.0003 - 1.0633 - 1.17807

Weekly Charts pattern : resistance line , W1 Chart.

Weekly Vision

AUD/SGD is moving in a downtrend channel pattern dynamics . The chart analysis bearish trend can be supported by the Hidden Markov Models Analysis, the RSI momentum indicator. The China monetary policy give also some support to the bearish bias.

Daily Vision
The D1 scale indicates that AUD/SGD is in a trendless pattern. The cros…
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Durden avatar
Durden 8 Oct.

The pair shows a slightly bullish regime. But Hidden markov model and RSI support the +0.2% of the AUD pair again the SGD counterpart.
AUS  Fundamental support the bullish side regime ( Oil and China economy retracement  )

foreignexchange avatar
foreignexchange 2 Nov.

The Oil seems to can retrace, do you think that could hold the parity ?

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Nov.

The Hidden Markov Model is coherent with the forecast. The RSI and the volume analysis also are coherent with the forecast.  foreignexchange  the oil bullish retracement can have a -1.2% on the estimation of the pair (using the cycle) but the parity can be a very pshicological level.... so maybe it is less than -1.2%.

Durden avatar
Durden 2 Nov.

The forecast at 1.0003 shows a great accuracy with the pair. The pair at 1.0008 with a trendless HMM component. The RSI and the Volatility analysis coherently with the behavior of the pair can forecast a no bias regime. The energy commodities related with the pair can be correlated with a slightly bearish regime.

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Durden 2 Nov.

The chart shows the agreement of the pair with the forecast. 

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