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AUD/CAD moving towards lower border broadening wedge pattern

Aud/Cad is still within a broadening wedge pattern on the weekly chart
Price action has the pair heading for the lower border of this broadening wedge pattern again,
and a break below the 61.8% fibonacci support level of the last weekly move up supports this
We also see that there is bearish divergence if we use the Stoachistic indicator
Aud/Cad weekly chart
On the daily chart we can see that the price is moving back up at the moment,
this could indicate a retest of the broken fibonacci level
If…
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AdamFx42 29 Nov.

The low RSI on the daily chart indicates that the current move up could indeed fail at the fibonacci retracement level that should act as resistence now

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AdamFx42 4 Dec.

Price is testing lower border of the trendline support as I drew out on my daily chart,
The support area - combination of 61.8% fibonacci expansion level and the bounce up from trendline
should slowly bring the price up higher

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AdamFx42 10 Dec.

The support area I mentioned on my daily chart has indeed stopped the move down,
price is moving as I drew out
The bounce brings the price towards my target area

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AdamFx42 16 Dec.

Price still moving up after the bounce - now breaking above 0.96,
just 30 pips below target now

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Heading down after reversal signs loom

I believe Nzd will weaken the coming month due to Usd demand,
Nzd/Jpy is due for a heavy retracement, and Nzd/Usd should follow down
On the daily chart you can just about see the weekly trendline bottom right of the chart,
it coincides with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of latest move up on daily chart
and in my mind is a logical target for a move down:
Nzd/Usd may not reach this target on May the 1st,
so I have set my price prediction just below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level
Lets take a clo…
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AdamFx42 24 Mar.

Pair is reversing from highs just now - I have a bearish engulfing candle on the 15min chart

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AdamFx42 17 Apr.

There seems to be a downward breakout starting now, but target is still a far way

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AdamFx42 10 May

Strong bearish pattern appearing, like daily bearish engulfing candle pattern and continuation down

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