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From PermaBear EURUSD to Bull EURUSD

Since beginning of the year I've been the permabear guy and I've sold almost every rally, but because I was too biased I just couldn't see the other side of the market. Now, don't get me wrong I've made some decent profits from this shorts but I was expecting for the runner and almost every trade I've made went in profit like 50-100-200 pips but didn't booked profits because I was expecting EUR/USD going much more lower. So, on each of this trade I ended up either at a small loss o…
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Dieselfx avatar
Dieselfx 10 Mar

at least you can change...and you'll be surprised again ;))

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Well, that depends on what do you mean by "surprised":) you can elaborate more if you wish

Jignesh avatar
Jignesh 13 Mar

It's interesting how similar our views are!  I had some 100 pip short trades on EUR turn to 0 as well.  I'm watching the 61.8% retracement from 2011 high @ 1.3826  Unless we get a weekly close below that, or a break of 1.37, there's no reason to be a bear here at these levels in my opinion. 

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Aussie: Current Up movement is Deceptive

Aussie have been trading to the downside in a strong fashion way since beginning of the year. Only recently the market has pick up after the USD negative sentiment across the board. Current up movement is still corrective in nature and we expect the market to resume the downtrend, we're still in a bear market.
Although we have complete a 5 wave cycle since we break to the downside (figure 1, red wave notes) this is just the first wave of higher degree. The reason why we may assume this is the…
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Update 2: The sell of from .9750 resistance zone has been confirmed today as the downward pressure is still in place. Although the market has found support at .9570 level I suspect this is a minor level the first major support come in to play at .9530 and here I'm expecting the market to bottom out and the upward momentum to gain traction again for a retest of the highs before to resume downward.

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Update 3: The downside momentum has continued in recent days after we had established a swing high at .9750. The current down leg is developing a 5 wave movement and we have finished the wave 5 of wave III, so I'm expecting one more leg down before any recovery. The final support should be at 0.94-0.93 from where I'm expecting the market to recover the recent loses.

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Update4: As I've said in my previous update we indeed find support at 0.94. I'm expecting this to hold as the wave I is already completed we had a 5 wave decline from 0.9750 swing high. Now we are expecting retracement in form of an ABC correction which will form wave II.

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Update 5: the current down wave has took shape of a five wave decline and it seems 9270 is holding as support level. From here we should expect a three wave correction which should give us a price near our target. The wave 4 of this 5 wave sequence is 0.9540 the market should end the wave C of this correction above that level near our 0.9570 target

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Update 6. Aussie it seems it has change direction and my prediction was WRONG. The market seems to go retesting previous low 0.8950

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