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On our way to the bottom of the Darvas Box


We are in a huge Darvas Box on the weekly chart, under the Moving Averages on the weekly, daily and 4 Hours. According to MACD we are sellers with convergence to the downside on the weekly and the daily time frame. Currently looking for a sell at 82.20, add to my position at 79.80, at 78.96, at 77.46 and every time when I have a correction ending with engulfing candles to the downside.
My final target is: 76.34
(Ones we hit the target and we still have convergence to the downside my next tar…
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The next week...

Next week will be important for the Kiwi and Aussie, in fact there will be a decision about the interest rate that currently is very low ( 1,5% for RBA AND 1,75 for RBNZ) and below the US rate (unusual for the so called high yield currencies) . There would be room for an increase but the loom of the trade war weight on this possibility( China is the main economical partner for these countries ) so is better remain short on this currencies , i think .
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AUDJPY

The AUDJPY weakness continue, in fact the pair is below the moving average of long period (200) with the HDMI and CCI oscillators that confirming the current bearish trend
If in the coming days the pair will be able to go down from the current price level ( red zone) it could suffered an acceleration in its trend , in this case the support placed to 76.3 could to be reached
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AUDjpy

After the bounce done in 2016 the AUDJPY restarted its main bearish ( trend) . At the moment the pair is below the moving average of long period .
With the RSI oscillator below 50 it easy foresee a further weakness in the coming weeks , in my opinion the pair could go down by another 7/8% for September , that mean reach the static support placed to 74.5
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AUDJPY 7th June 2018

Hi Traders,
Looks like there is a good opportunity to sell AUDJPY as it is currently at the daily resistance level according to this chart below.
There is good risk to reward to this trade.
I'm looking at 50pips Stop Loss for a 100pips to 150pips reward.
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AUDjpy

The AUDJPY 's recovery is over when the pair ( after +22%) reached the static resistance placed to 90.5. in Sept of 2017 . From there it began to decline and at the moment is below the moving average of long period (200)
In the weeks ahead this situation should to continue , in fact the pair appear in the middle of a bearish channel ( Pitchfork ) that should represent the future path of the AUDJPY toward the static support placed to 74, 5
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The stock market...

The stock market bad moment continue but the pair that usually have an high correlation with the market don't go so bad. For example in this week Dow Jones -1.5% , Dax -1,95% and Nikkei -1 % From the other side AUDJPY- 0,29 , USDJPY -0.27 and EURJPY -0,1 .I think that there are room for a worsening on these latest pairs
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AUD JPY

Divisas: AUD JPY
Los indicadores utilizados: análisis de precios, normas técnicas, MM200, volumen y MACD.
Gráficos utilizados: gráfico semanal, gráfico diario.
Nivele de resistencia: 84.75
Nivel de soporte: 81.40
Descripción Análisis: El gráfico semanal podemos ver dos canales uno bajista y otro alcista. El canal bajista se comportó uniformemente con sus extensiones y sus retrocesos mientras descendía. El canal alcista ha sido quebrado por el lado sur de una forma violenta. Lo último acontecido …
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maikfx 3 Giu

La probabilidad en esta divisa son continuaciones bajistas pero estamos en mínimos y antes de continuar bajista podemos tener un tirón más al alza en este marco temporal. La idea es que ha sacudido los mínimos anteriores y esto nos da un aviso de las posibles continuaciones que pueden preceder en las siguientes sesiones.

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maikfx 10 Giu

El precio se manbtiene en rango ne la zona de soporte del precio. La idea es que puede salir por arriba o por abajo. La probabilidad  en el largo plazo es bajista debido a que ha realizado  mínimos descendentes.

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maikfx 17 Giu

El precio después de un buen rango esta empezando a decender pero para ver continuaciones bajista deberia superar la zona del último mínimo en el area de 80.50. La probabilidad es que descienda pero deberia coger más fuerza desde un punto más alto de resistencia.

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maikfx 28 Giu

El precio se ha mantenido en rango y donde parece que quiere continuar con los descensos bajistas. La probabilidad es bajista debido que ha superado los máximos anteriores.

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The volatility ...

The volatility seems come back in this latest period , with pairs that recorder swinging also above 100 points daily . The policy reason appear to be only an excuse , in fact we had a War risk between a North Korea and US then a trade war and now an Italy risk . In real the market have already peaked up and a correction is unavoidable , so any excuse is good for hit the market and so called high yield currencies ( at advantage of safe haven as CHF or YEN) .
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AUD/JPY

AUD/JPY presently mark: 82.477
Forecast: Buy
Sell below LWMA
Buy above LWMA
H4 Key points:
Top Resistance: 84.000
1st Resistance: top of the blue zone
Floor: 82.070
LWMA: Bullish
Fractal: Bullish
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